Cirios Opportunities – High Fico Second Liens
Tuesday, September 14th, 2010This post first appeared in the September edition of: Cirios Trends: In Search of Real Estate Opportunities
Pay-Option ARMs, No Documentation Loans, 100% financing, 2/28 ARMS with stated income, High Fico second liens …
These are just some of the numerous mortgage products that have essentially gone the way of the dinosaurs and boxing. Similar to the Komodo dragon and Manny Paciao. however, there might still be a place in society for one of these products.
If you ask any mortgage banker who was around to participate in the housing boom, they will tell you that current loan underwriting standards are as tight as they have ever been. In many parts of the country, the only loan in town is the FHA 3.5% down loan. While a mortgage originator might look at this loan and call it conservative due to the government guarantee, it is anything but riskless. Many FHA transactions include a closing cost credit of 3% or more, which effectively means the borrower puts little or no money down.
So, of all the exotic mortgage products mentioned above, the survivor of the housing market’s crash has been 100% financing. Based on recent default rates (see below) for these government (read: taxpayer) backed FHA loans, we at Cirios believe the wrong product was kept around while another one might have been eliminated without good cause.
The High FICO second lien was originally created to give well qualified home buyers the option to finance some of their down payment. In many parts of the Bay Area, buyers need to put down more than $150,000 to buy a home. If given the choice, many of these buyers would welcome the opportunity to cut that down payment in half so they could put the money to use in other worthwhile investments.
Is a buyer with the means to put down 20% and a credit score over 770 significantly more likely to default on their mortgage because they put down 10% rather than 20%? We believe the answer is No.
When underwritten correctly, the borrower has the opportunity to allocate capital to other investments and the lender gets to take advantage of a mortgage with 2%+ more yield with dramatically less default risk than many FHA first liens.
As with any mortgage product there are risks, but if you were a lender, wouldn’t you sleep better at night knowing you lent money to a well-qualified buyer in Noe Valley who put down 10% to buy a restored Victorian than an FHA buyer in Vallejo who put down 3.5% and received $5,000 back at closing to buy a falling apart 20-year old deteriorating Lennar tract home?
